Let's Keep the Playoff Talk Going
9:18:00 AMSean - IN. Congratulations Sean! You should really rest up Foster if you want him ready for the playoffs. Just sayin'
Dan - Essentially in. Dan will make the playoffs definitively if he wins and one of Joe or Baron loses. The only way he doesn't make it is if he loses out and both Joe and Baron win out. And I say that only because he's outscored everyone so much that, at this point in the season, they can't really catch up to him in points scored. So they'll have to beat him in outright record, not in points scored.
Bryan - Not as guaranteed as Dan. Bryan's team has only scored 38 more points than Joe, and 53 more than Tim, who he plays this week. He still has the same circumstances as Dan in that he makes the playoffs if he wins and one of Joe and Baron lose. But, essentially, a win would all but clinch it for him since he does play Arun next week. I'll elaborate more on Bryan's situation in Tim's section.
Joe - He'll be in if he wins out. That is unless Baron outscores him by 107 points in three weeks. He's got a very nice matchup against Danny this week, but then gets Dan, followed by a season ending matchup against Blake Sims. Odds are definitely on Joe's side as his remaining schedule has a combined .467 winning percentage. If he wins two of three, and Baron loses even one, then he should be in the playoffs. Of course, there's the matter of what happens with Tim, Jeff, and myself. But two of three would give him a huge leg up, especially since he's outscored everyone ranked 4-8.
Baron - If Baron makes the playoffs, it would definitely be an impressive feat. He has the hardest schedule to end the season as he plays Sean this week, a rising Jeff team next week, and ends the season against Dan. He does get a Foster-less Sean team this week (and Siems picked up Foster's backup mind you), so the odds are better. But he needs to win more games than Joe the final three weeks, or have Bryan/Dan lose out. They're plausible in theory, but less so if you think about the odds of it happening. In short, he doesn't control his destiny, and needs Joe to fall a bit.
Tim - Tim is only 15 points - and one game - behind Joe. At the same time, he's only 53 points behind Bryan. And like I said, he plays Bryan this week. If he wins, he'll be one game back of Bryan, and either one game back or tied with Joe/Baron. On top of that, if he outscores Joe by enough, he would be the biggest contender to fight for that last playoff spot. A loss, of course, combined with a Joe/Baron win, would almost completely eliminate him. But if he wins this week, his end of season schedule includes Danny and Arun. So Tim could run the table if he wins out. And that would put a lot of pressure on the teams ahead of him. Because if Bryan loses to Tim this week, he'll only be one game up and fewer than 53 points ahead of him. And Joe would essentially be tied in points scored. And Baron will almost 100 points behind him. That's why I'm saying Tim and Bryan's game is the game of the week. Because if Tim wins, he'll throw the single biggest wrench into the playoff scenario situation.
Jeff - Has anyone noticed Jeff's winning streak? He's won his past three riding the legs of the Saints big three of Brees, Graham, and - wait for it - Mark Ingram. And he just traded for Brandon Marshall. It's not inconceivable that Jeff makes the playoffs, although he has to play Dan this week. Let's just say Jeff wins. He'll be, at the very least, one game back of Joe/Baron (or tied depending upon outcome), with Baron and Danny left on the season. What he really needs to stay alive is a Tim loss AND a win, so it's an absolute uphill battle this week. But if that happens, he'll play Baron next week in what will be an elimination game between the two. And then he ends the season against Dan. So, while odds are against him, they aren't impossible.
Jose - Being the lowest scoring team amongst the playoff contenders leaves the odds of making the playoffs the closest to impossible for me. In short, I have to win out and need help. With games on the horizon against Sean and Joe, those odds aren't looking so great. The thing I have going for me is a matchup against Katarya this week, and so unfavorable matchups for other teams trying to make the playoffs. For me to have a chance, I need one of Joe or Baron to lose, as well as Tim and Jeff to lose one of their remaining three games. But if that scenario happens this week, I'll be tied for the final playoff spot (based on record), and have a head to head against Joe. So if all plays out this week as it should, I'll still be in it. But if I lose and one of Joe or Baron wins, then I'm done.
Danny and Arun - Next year homies.
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